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== Event Details == NCAA Football 2018 Week 7 Competitor: Wisconsin vs Michigan Date : 13th October, 2018 Live/Repeat:Live
Coming into 2018 the Wisconsin Badgers were 26-14 against the spread in three seasons under coach Paul Chryst. But runs like that are difficult to maintain, and Wisconsin is 1-4 ATS this season. Can the Badgers find financial success when they take on Michigan at the Big House on Saturday night?
College football point spread: The Wolverines opened as 6.5-point favorites, according to sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark. (Line updates and matchup report)
College football betting pick, via OddsShark computer: 28.6-26.0 Wolverines (College football picks on every game)
Check out the OddsShark podcast on iTunes or Spotify or at OddsShark.libsyn.com for more odds information, betting picks and a breakdown of this week’s top sports betting news.
Sponsored Content The good news? They won, and everything that went wrong is fixable through experience and coaching. Nebraska quietly has one of the best wide receiver tandems in the country, much less the Big Ten, and Wisconsin played two true freshmen heavy minutes in this game. Eric Burrell and Seth Currens both received extensive, meaningful playing time against the Huskers. Now, all that being said, there’s no rest for the wicked. The Michigan Wolverines will invite Wisconsin into the Big House and don’t care one bit about Wisconsin’s injuries and lack of depth at corner and safety. Another test awaits the Wisconsin cover guys in Peoples-Jones, a former five-star recruit who has lived up to the billing thus far in his college career.
“You try to do what you’ve always done, but you definitely lock in for a guy like that,” Hicks said. “He’s definitelygood, but you don’t worry about him too much. We’re gonna compete too.
“We treat them all the same. You want to show us that you can beat us,” said Burrell, who will start next week for Nelson, who will be eligible to return in the second half against Michigan. “You get excited for guys like that, but it’s next man up.”
Why the Wisconsin Badgers can cover the spread
The Badgers reached 4-1 on the season and 2-0 in Big Ten play with a 41-24 victory over Nebraska last week. Wisconsin drove the opening possession of the game 15 plays to a field goal, running the first eight minutes off the clock. The Badgers led 20-3 at halftime and 41-17 after Heisman candidate running back Jonathan Taylor’s 88-yard touchdown bolt early in the fourth quarter.
Unfortunately for Wisconsin financial backers the Badgers allowed the Cornhuskers to score a meaningless touchdown with nine minutes to go, then fumbled a ball away inside Nebraska territory and came up one score short of covering a 20-point spread.On the evening the Badgers ran the ball for 370 yards and won time of possession by a 36/24 split. Wisconsin has now out-gained and out-rushed each of its first five opponents this season.
Why the Michigan Wolverines can cover the spread
The Wolverines ran their winning streak to five and reached 3-0 in Big Ten play with a 42-21 victory over Maryland last week. Michigan opened the scoring with a field goal late in the first quarter, then fell down when it allowed the Terrapins to return the ensuing kickoff 98 yards for a touchdown. But the Wolverines used a 24-0 run spanning the halves to take control, and later tacked on a pick-six to secure the cash as 18-point favorites.
On the day Michigan out-gained Maryland 465-220, made 24 first downs to only 11 for the Terps, converted on nine-of-13 third-down situations and won time of possession by a 36/24 split.The Wolverines have now out-gained each of their first three Big Ten opponents, Nebraska, Northwestern and Maryland, by an average of 259 yards.
Smart betting pickWisconsin won this matchup last year in Madison 24-10, but the Badgers are not as good now as they were then. Meanwhile, Michigan is better than it was that day, especially at quarterback. Smart money here gives the points with the Wolverines.
College football betting trends The total has gone over in six of Michigan’s last seven games at home.
Michigan is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone over in six of Wisconsin’s last eight games on the road.
All college football odds and betting trends according to Bleacher Report’s official odds partner, OddsShark. Check out OddsShark on Twitter and Instagram or head to YouTube for more betting picks and analysis on this week’s top games. You can also download the free odds tracker app.
We are about to get a top-15 matchup in Ann Arbor between Michigan and Wisconsin. This is the game many will look at as a true test of whether or not this team is prime to make some noise in the Big Ten. These two have given us nail-biting games the last two years with the home team coming out victorious.
And now it means just a little more.
ESPN announced their next stop for College GameDay is Ann Arbor.Wisconsin ran outside zone a lot in 2017 against Nebraska as well, so it wasn’t hard to put two and two together. A 3-4 alignment creates some advantageous blocking angles for the offensive line on outside zone, so Wisconsin looked to use that again this season for some success.
“They were trying to space out their three-technique, he played more of a four, to try to space out against outside zone, so we took advantage of that and kind of got away from it,” Benzschawel said. The first play of both halves was outside zone to the right, but the Badgers didn’t use it nearly as much as they did a year ago.
“Their backers were playing fast,” Deiter said in regard to outside zone. “They knew we were going to look to do that, so they ran the backers fast and made some things tough for us, so we had to adjust to that.”
Improved pass rush is encouraging
An area of concern over the first few weeks of the season for Wisconsin’s defense was the pass rush, or lack thereof. While Wisconsin’s edge rushers didn’t record any sacks, their pressure certainly sped up Nebraska’s Adrian Martinez and forced him into some quick throws and poor decisions early, which allowed the Badgers to get ahead and let the run game dictate the contest.
“We used more of a crush rush this week instead of a traditional outside rush,” outside linebacker Zack Baun said. “We didn’t want [Martinez] to get those B-gaps open and allow him to run around and use his athleticism.”
While the outside linebackers’ efforts didn’t end in sacks for themselves, T.J. Edwards ended up with both Badger sacks on the evening, one a direct result from the pass rush on the outside. This group doesn’t have any dynamic pass rushers, but if it can fulfill its potential as a unit, it can certainly be enough to supplement a secondary that will continue to improve and gain experience by the week.
Attrition taking its toll on the secondary
Faion Hicks was the only starter who made it to the end of the game for the Wisconsin secondary. Caesar Williams didn’t play due to an injury, and Deron Harrell left the game due to a head injury. Scott Nelson was ejected from the game in the third quarter due to a targeting penalty, and D’Cota Dixon limped off of the field after a pass break-up. The Badgers gave up over 400 passing yards and JD Spielman had 209 yards receiving, which broke his previous school record.